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Saturday, February 09, 2008

Clinton supporters have to face some tough facts

Clinton supporters have to face some tough facts soon. There are no "good" states for Hillary between now and March. Obama will take the delegate lead on Tuesday, and will keep it until the first Tuesday in March. On that day Ohio and Texas vote. As it stands now Clinton should do well in those 2 large states and retake a small delegate lead. In April Pennsylvania votes - another big state that would seem to favor Clinton.
The possibilities seem to be:
A. No one gets enough delegates to win. In this case the super delegates will have the final say.
Or
B. Obama eeks out a win.
The sanctions against Florida and Michigan are proving to be a massive problem for Clinton. She could end up winning the raw vote total of all the primaries and lose the nomination.
Of course, outside events will play a role. What role is anyone's guess.

 

 
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