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Monday, February 12, 2007

The arrested development of the neo-cons and the reverse domino theory.


The domino theory dominated U.S. foreign policy for 30 years. The idea being that if one nation "fell" to the commies, then those nearby would "fall" and so on and so on. Therefore we had to nip the commie hordes in there commie buds. It did not work. Then again neither did communism. And here we are.
Here is my question: Is what Bush doing in Iraq a sort of domino theory in reverse? A preemptive domino theory.
It goes like this:
1. Without factual cause, invade a country that has something we want. Iraq. Oil. (As opposed to shoring up a corrupt regime that does our bidding. South Vietnam)
2. Botch the invasion in such a way that the society of the invaded land teeters on the brink of total collapse. Iraq. (As opposed to the society being neutralized and controlled so as to be exploited. Just about any nation you can think of - Vietnam, "Siam" , India, Central America, in general, Iraq before 1990.)
3. As the society of the invaded nation goes over the edge, its neighbor nations, concerned, with cause, for there own stability, covertly try to stop the invaders from further damaging the region. And seeing an opening do what they can to exert more influence.- not pleasant, but hardly unexpected.
4. This becomes the pretext for another attack, this time on the neighbor country. Which, in turn, creates social disruption through out the region. Which in turn opens the doors for military force against those we do not like and military support for those we do. And before you know it, Iraq, Iran, Syria, and anyone else who rubs us the wrong way is engulfed in flames and ripe for "regime enhancement" - by us.
The domino theory in reverse. Of course, it won't work. The societies Bush will disrupt with an attack on Iran will all be Western. But the arrested development of the neo-cons marches on...stability, common sense, history, and realism be damned.

 

 
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