I also bet we will attack Iran - soon.

The "surge" is about Iran. Not Iraq.
Former weapons inspector, Scott Ritter, has laid out a grisly and very plausible scenario for the attack on Iran. The US and the British, possibly with the aid of the Israelis, launch a missile attack on Iran. In retaliation, Iran will try to cut off all oil and gas flowing from the Persian Gulf. Also, Iran has an agreement with Venezuela that, if the US should attack Iran, then Venezuela will also cut off its exports to the US. Within one week, US motorists will be crying at the gas pumps and the US economy will be in danger of collapse. Bush will send in troops, but he will not have adequate forces available to even begin the job. US forces will be caught inside Iran and threatened with capture or destruction. As per his stated policy should US troops be overpowered, Bush will resort to nuclear weapons. And once the US drops nuclear weapons on the Middle East, the madness will not stop until we lose one or two US cities to nuclear retaliation.